With the probable exception of The Bahamas, Cayman Islands, and Cuba, the core of the dry season over the next three months is predicted to be a little less intense than usual, with a few more wet days and wet spells than usual, according to the Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF), based in Barbados.

According to the Caribbean Climate Outlook’s most recent edition, “marginal to slight potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading hazards is projected for most places,” as there is little probability of significant rainfall through March.

According to the report, moderate or worse short-term and worse long-term droughts have emerged in Cuba, eastern and southern Jamaica, and northern Suriname as of January 1 of this year.

Long-term drought is currently developing in Central and Eastern Cuba as of the end of May of this year, and it may develop or continue in Western Cuba, the Dominican Republic, and St. Vincent.

“In The Bahamas, Cayman Islands, and Cuba, rainfall totals from February to April are projected to be neither greater nor lower than typical, but rather at least as high as usual in the Guianas, Hispaniola, US Caribbean territory, and the islands south of Guadeloupe.